Most of the springs stars are off in the paddock having a well earned rest now, and while it’s sad not to have them racing it does provide a great opportunity for some lesser names to shine.
Mooney Valley has a tricky card this weekend but there seems to be some good bets in the program.
RACE 1- 1600M- BM70
2- STILL BE FRIENDS- Impressive winner last start, was able to get forward early and sat in box seat before blasting away. Third-up and peaking now, expecting improvement.
5- SEB SONG- Has run well first two starts, looks like a win is coming. Should have won last start when ghosting in behind eventual winner but couldn’t get past. Ran behind Shelby Cobra on debut but not sure that stacks up after last weekend.
7- SEA PRINCESS- Has been good since returning, that included a great victory latest. Hits the line well which may be an issue here if pattern holds its recent form.
3- SUPREME THUNDER- Beaten a well-backed favourite last start, gapped third that day though. Will be better for that run and any improvement will help.
Suggested Bet: 5 units win- Still Be Friends
RACE 2- 1000M- Ladbrokes Plate
3- BRAZEN BOY- Took the mickey in a very light trial last time out, spaced them with ease and looked impressive. Genuine pace and can win here.
7- PAULELE- Ran well in jump-out when coming second, had plenty in the tank that day. Full potential could see a very good run here.
13- THE GLOBE- Ran well on debut, finished behind General Beau and Finance Tycoon. That form has been franked very well since.
1- GULF OF SEUZ- Dictated terms on debut to win with ease, one to keep an eye out for if the track pattern plays in favour.
Suggested Bet: 10 units win- Brazen Boy
RACE 3- 1600M- BM64
1- OCEANS THIRTEEN- Ran very well at G3 level, Sovereign Award won that. Makes that run look very good. Was good last start and settles on-speed which is a plus at MV.
5- MULETA- Has been in great form this campaign, ran very well last start when hitting the line well. Could be ready to peak now and can figure with some luck.
4- LAUNDY- Ignore start two back, didn’t enjoy the heavy ground. Runs around that have been good. Is a very tough runner who will give them something to chase.
9- MURGANELLA- Was too good for them fresh, comes up in grade now but that seems to be no issue. Has placed 2 from 2 second-up and trip is a plus.
Suggested bet: No bet.
RACE 4- 1600M- BM78
9- NOVEMBER DREAMING- Ignore last start, was given no chance in the run and dropped off. Form prior to that was very good and if she can match that she will be hard to beat.
5- MRS BECKHAM- Expected better last start but found the wrong part of the track, dominant win before that though. Worth another chance.
8- RE EDIT- Looked the winner last start at headquarters, work before that fresh run was pretty good. Will be fitter for that run too.
7- ETHICAL SOLUTION- Complete forgive two starts back when no luck came at crucial stage, was pretty good subsequent run at Sandown. Peaks here and can figure with more luck.
Suggested Bet: 10 units win- November Dreaming
RACE 5- 1200M- Mcmahon’s Dairy Mckenzie Stakes
5- NICOLINI VITO- Has been pretty good lately, first campaign as a gelding and looks a good one. Won ere last start which is a good sign and ran well behind Immortal Love and KhoeKhoe in winter.
4- DEEP SPEED- Very convincing win here two starts back, was never threatened. Jumped to lead latest at Flemington before being beat by Shelby Cobra and Tommy Gold. Very impressive that day.
6- ILOVETHEGAME- Ran well but was no where near as good as top pick here latest, has run well second-up in the past though so can improve here.
8- OCEAN BEYOND- Good win on debut, stalked the leader and cruised past. This is harder but wouldn’t be shocked.
Suggested bet: No bet.
RACE 6- 1000M- BM78
5- KALKARNI ROYALE- Been running in some very good races this campaign, will enjoy this level. Wasn’t helped by barrier at latest, has won her only start at MV.
14- PAUL’S REGRET- Resumes here, runs well fresh but has been hurt by the draw. Has the class but needs luck to win here.
13- ALL BANTER- Was good when winning last time out, finished ahead of Chosen Blonde who was second behind Written Beauty here before that. Won second-up last prep.
6- SOPHIA’S CHOICE- Was a good winner fresh, finds it tougher here but is proven second-up and wouldn’t rule her out. Betting?
Suggested Bet: 10 units win- Kalkarni Royale
RACE 7- 2040M- BM90
1- HANG MAN- Has the ability to beat these, but has the ability to not show up. Ran very well behind Irish Flame last start who has gone on to win since. Willing to go with the class here.
2- BARTHOLOMEU DIAS- Third-up and peaking now, ran some great late sectionals in Kilmore fresh and winner there has franked that form. Looked the winner until the line latest.
3- DANON ROMAN- Had to run via the grandstand when fresh, not ideal but may reap the benefits of that now. Will be ready to peak and can figure.
6- STARS OF CARRUM- Not always great fresh but has some class, record doesn’t make for great reading but has run against some real quality in his time.
Suggested Bet: No bet.
RACE 8- 1000M- Fiorente@sun Stud Carlyon Stakes
2- CORUSCATE- Two very good wins this campaign to kick-off, was in it when third-up but unable to finish off down the straight. Last run was huge behind Shamino when carrying 62kg, drops in weights now.
5- PREZADO- Was unreal last campaign when finally finding the groove, loves the 1000m and loved headquarters. Not without a look here but maybe wait to see if he can do it here too? 3 placings from 5 fresh runs.
11- SEEMINGLY DISCREET- Three runs in this prep, very good win when controlling the race latest, tired in run before that but was entitled to do so having over-raced.
3- RUNSON- Another who has run behind some very good horses this spring, very good at Caulfield three runs back. deserves forgiveness latest after suffering an internal bleed.
Suggested Bet: 10 units win- Coruscate.
RACE 9- 1200M- BM78
1- LEITER- Very good win fresh, will be better for that now and can improve here. Decent second-up record and has the class.
6- OVERKILL- Very good first-up in a run that suggests he will improve here, is seriously quick and has plenty of ability.
13- HOUSAY- Last two deserve forgiveness, barrier no good at Moe and then had to do a lot of work over 1400m latest. 1200m yes.
2- BANDERSNATCH- Last prep wasn’t ideal, gets to a new stable now and hopefully finds best form again. Has won fresh before.
Suggested Bet: No bet.